The medium new net gives or gets an electric shock(energy channel the history set up Lei) EU summits to acquire a surprised surprise achievement on July 5, the ground good luck political crisis in Persian gulf obviously ferments and causes recently the international crude oil repeatedly soar now, and the two total amount ups unexpectedly super USD 10/bucket.Many organizations with analytical house predict that oil price bottom's adjusting is already a settled situation, but owing to crude oil trend, three grounds(the Xin Ta and Di does obeisance, cloth Lun especially DTD) of crude oil variety rate negatives deepen temporary,oakley sunglasses go to on July 11 fee hike window way to open or at-9% is or so, and continuous under adjust, weigh the upper stream profits, finished product oil hard foot sum adjust, reduction or shrink into 400-450 dollars/ton, can return to "6 dollars ages" smoothly into Yi.
  Ground good luck politics in Persian gulf ferments international crude oil repeatedly to soar now the Europe and America a series of sanctions against Iran continuously take effect recently, the Iran's Israel army then play to repeatedly shoot guided missile and threaten to blockade Howl's wood straits etc. raise a Cuo strong reaction and add of EU EU leader summits to solve an obligation crisis the accident reach to break sex agreement, the Norway petroleum worker goes on strike to wait factor influence, international oil price from 6 the end of the months start repeatedly soar now, the two total amount ups unexpectedly super USD 10/bucket.  On June 28, the United States aims at more scathing sanctions measure in Iran to formally take effect, EU oil embargo aiming at Iran makes to take effect on schedule also on July 1, this very day is forbidden from the import from Iran and transports crude oil and finished product oil, and provides margin and insurance to serve for Iran petroleum trade since EU member's country, the continuously sanctions continuously takes effect and arise Iran strong rebound, ground good luck crisis the risk turn worse.  EU leaders summit process in order to expect a negotiation for two day, solve an obligation crisis to finally reach to break sex agreement, biggest promoted and boosted confidence in the market, wholesale oakley sunglassesthe international oil price soars on the 29th, commodity exchange in New York delivers goods August of the light quality crude oil forward price soar USD 7.27, Be accepted to USD 84.96 per bucket, rise for 9.36%, for February, 2011 of the odd day biggest rise.Especially the crude oil forward price of cloth Lun in the North Sea that delivers goods in August soars USD 6.44, is accepted to USD 97.80 per bucket, the rise is 7.05%.  Iran plays in the soldier in successfully the test-launch is several guided missiles.Be increase a lately replying of the soldier to Persian gulf to the United States and Israel etc. nation, nervous situation in Iran gets stripe.The international oil price significantly soars once again on the 3rd, commodity exchange in New York delivers goods August of the light quality crude oil forward price soar USD 3.91, Be accepted to USD 87.66 per bucket, the rise is 4.67%.Especially the crude oil forward price of cloth Lun in the North Sea that delivers goods in August soars USD 3.34, is accepted to USD 100.68 per bucket, the rise is 3.43%, for May 31 return on the above of USD 100 for the very first time.  Three geologic changes turn a rate negative to deepen or temporary finished product oil reduction the obvious constringency be subjected to an international crude oil trend influence, three geologic changes turn rate although continue to keep negative, negative deepen or temporary.July 3 three grounds(the Xin Ta and Di does obeisance, cloth Lun especially DTD) of crude oils treasure island monitor data suggests, on that day all the price is USD 99.687 per bucket, near on the 22th all the price is USD 97.508 per bucket, oner June 7 the basis price declines 9.56%.  Analyst, Han Jing Zi You Xi Yuan, in the treasure island market said that consider the crude oil vibration trend in the near future, three grounds of crude oil variety rates will be between 9.2-9.5 to oscillate adjustment, in the July 11 fee hike window way before opening, won't be higher than-9%.This range and hair changes Wei on June 9 when the bottom adjust finished product oil three geologic changes turn to lead basic consistent, but consider a finished product oil continuous slump, supreme snapback hatsand weigh the upper stream profits, this"three connect fall", hair change a Wei's end reduction will be more obviously low than the adjustment in last time, the range anticipates to shrink into 450 dollars/ton.  The Zhuo creates information to also think, the crude oil soars difficult Zu three connect to fall, but turn rate and fee hike range to slightly have difference in three geologic changes.Its Hu Hui Chun of analyst means that create an information data according to the Zhuo model suggest, if the empress expects an international oil price to keep to oscillate to soar of trend, make three grounds of crude oils all the price is soared with the range of USD 2/bucket in everyday, when 22 workdays satisfies, till July 10(is international up) three grounds of crude oil varieties rate still at-7% is or so, local finished product oil market three connect the situation falling can't change, but decline range will narrow into 400 dollars/ton or so.  Fold to calculate by 400 dollars/ton range, 93# gasoline reduction 0.3 dollars/rise, 0# diesel reduction 0.34 dollars/rise, create an information monitor data according to the Zhuo, currently 93# local gasoline selling prices generally in 7.25-7.3 dollars/rise, reduction for 400 dollars/ton then local 93# gasoline smooth regression""6 dollars ages" will have a difficulty.
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